Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.250032 2.570146 2.920498 3.332559 3.804166 4.327351 4.952200
2025-08-10 1.721643 2.145845 2.652541 3.303092 4.117407 5.104699 6.395264
2025-08-17 1.418161 1.876136 2.456887 3.248790 4.303090 5.662198 7.553564
2025-08-24 1.250347 1.736871 2.384824 3.313197 4.613597 6.377014 8.961581
2025-08-31 1.118224 1.620265 2.317845 3.361151 4.888463 7.052859 10.371850
2025-09-07 0.993935 1.495209 2.218497 3.342445 5.053924 7.576754 11.605379
2025-09-14 0.881691 1.372258 2.104755 3.283322 5.143535 7.985913 12.696071
2025-09-21 0.795044 1.276959 2.019706 3.253955 5.268037 8.450030 13.908009
2025-09-28 0.717185 1.186135 1.930542 3.205341 5.351306 8.849160 15.045867
2025-10-05 0.703191 1.196489 2.002290 3.423176 5.888539 10.031061 17.604783
2025-10-12 0.654615 1.143540 1.963687 3.449684 6.101581 10.685425 19.315837
2025-10-19 0.626208 1.121958 1.975070 3.561780 6.471289 11.639716 21.651137
2025-10-26 0.574496 1.058209 1.914213 3.552634 6.647759 12.313429 23.636403
2025-11-02 0.523824 0.991845 1.843473 3.520847 6.785199 12.942669 25.639746
2025-11-09 0.476010 0.925183 1.764403 3.462901 6.863187 13.462960 27.484406
2025-11-16 0.449324 0.895897 1.752084 3.531646 7.194284 14.505231 30.499560
2025-11-23 0.423211 0.864744 1.732507 3.582831 7.493944 15.514289 33.563527
2025-11-30 0.392095 0.820061 1.681244 3.562865 7.642598 16.227156 36.075730
2025-12-07 0.359897 0.769702 1.613193 3.499759 7.691305 16.732244 38.187029
2025-12-14 0.333878 0.729727 1.562618 3.468413 7.804733 17.386798 40.711508
2025-12-21 0.308571 0.688684 1.505624 3.416526 7.865730 17.929921 43.039461
2025-12-28 0.308513 0.703634 1.571698 3.649037 8.602667 20.083329 49.470188
2026-01-04 0.292372 0.680391 1.550463 3.677333 8.863272 21.157819 53.390359